Prediksi Semester Tugas Akhir Mahasiswa Berdasarkan Transkrip Nilai Menggunakan Linear Regression, Kernel Ridge Regression dan Decision Tree Regression

Eki Ahmad Zaki Hamidi; Edi Mulyana; Dilla Restu Agusthiani; Aldi Fahruzi Muharam

doi:10.55893/epsilon.v22i2.123

Eki Ahmad Zaki Hamidi UIN Sunan Gunung Djati Bandung
Edi Mulyana
Dilla Restu Agusthiani
Aldi Fahruzi Muharam

DOI: https://doi.org/10.55893/epsilon.v22i2.123

Abstract

This study aims to predict the semester in which students complete their final thesis using transcript data and three regression algorithms: Linear Regression, Kernel Ridge Regression, and Decision Tree Regression. The research evaluates the performance of each model using Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) as evaluation metrics. The experimental results show that Kernel Ridge Regression outperforms the other two models with an MSE of 2.271 and an MAE of 1.251. In comparison, Linear Regression achieved an MSE of 5.137 and an MAE of 1.859, while Decision Tree Regression produced an MSE of 4.1 and an MAE of 1.2. These findings indicate that Kernel Ridge Regression is the most effective method for predicting the completion semester based on academic transcripts, providing more accurate and reliable results. The study contributes to the academic field by demonstrating the potential of machine learning models in predicting students' academic progress and supporting better decision-making for academic management.

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